M Winkworth

18 April 2019
By Maynard Paton

Results verdict on M Winkworth (WINK):

• Collecting a greater proportion of franchisee estate-agent income supported an acceptable rate of growth.

• Subdued sector conditions likely to persist until “relative [political] stability” emerges. 

• Further market-share gains won from London rival Foxtons, while threat of online competition continues to subside.

• Accounts still exhibit high margins, a cash-flush balance sheet and appealing returns on equity.

• P/E of 11 and yield of 6% do not appear expensive should earnings resume their momentum. I continue to hold.

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13 September 2018
By Maynard Paton

Update on M Winkworth (WINK).

Event: Interim results for the six months to 30 June 2018 published 12 September 2018.

Summary: These results were quite satisfactory and actually revealed record first-half revenue — despite the estate-agency group remaining dependent on London’s difficult property market. In fact, the confident management narrative said sales commission rates had increased and also described online rivals as “digital experiments”. Meanwhile, the accounts seem in decent shape, the outlook appears relatively encouraging and the valuation is hardly extended. I continue to hold.

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29 March 2018
By Maynard Paton

Update on M Winkworth (WINK).

Event: Final results for the twelve months to 31 December 2017 published 28 March 2018

Summary: The London estate-agency group was never going to issue stunning figures. Nonetheless, a credible performance was reported and I am impressed the business continues to fare well against sector rival Foxtons. Note, too, that WINK’s average percentage commissions actually increased — so perhaps online competition is not that big a threat after all. Meanwhile, the books remain cash rich, the outlook does not seem too bad while the 10x multiple and 6% yield appear modest. I continue to hold.

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13 September 2017
By Maynard Paton

Quick update on M Winkworth (WINK).

Event: Interim results for the six months to 30 June 2017 published 13 September 2017

Summary: These figures could have been a lot worse, given the estate-agency firm remains dependent mostly on the standstill London property market. The major highlight derived from the statement was that WINK continues to outperform Foxtons, and it appears the group is now using the difficult sector to expand its franchising network. Meanwhile, the financials remain in order, the outlook seems relatively promising and yet the valuation is still in the doldrums. I continue to hold.

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06 April 2017
By Maynard Paton

Quick update on M Winkworth (WINK).

Event: Final results for the twelve months to 31 December 2016 published 30 March 2017

Summary: These were never going to be great figures from the London estate-agency firm. However, at least WINK outperformed larger rival Foxtons while the favourable economics of the group’s franchising model remain quite clear. True, the immediate outlook for WINK is rather mixed and there is online competition to consider, too. However, all that seems priced into the P/E of 8 and 7%-plus income. I continue to hold.

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14 September 2016
By Maynard Paton

Quick update on M Winkworth (WINK).

Event: Interim results for the six months to 30 June 2016 published 13 September 2016

Summary: A quite satisfactory statement that suggested this London-dependent estate agency should be able to cope with the capital’s slower property market. Indeed, the business appears keen to expand and the pace of its new franchisee openings may in fact accelerate. Margins remain high, the balance sheet remains strong and a P/E of 7 seems to price in a lot of bad news. I bought more shares in August and continue to hold.

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23 March 2016
By Maynard Paton

Quick update on M Winkworth (WINK).

Event: Final results for the year to 31 December 2015 published 23 March

Summary: A somewhat better set of figures than I had been anticipating from this estate-agency franchising business. The second-half looks to have been bolstered by extra franchisee fees, which helped WINK register a decent second half and improve its cash flow. Margins and returns on equity remain superb at 31%, the shares do not seem over-priced — but will the Internet crush the income of traditional estate agents? I just don’t know, but continue to hold.

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09 September 2015
By Maynard Paton

Quick update on M Winkworth (WINK).

Event: Interim results published 8 September

Summary: A somewhat lacklustre set of results, blamed on a nervous pre-election housing market and extra costs associated with a corporate-relocation department. While the potential of additional lettings income looks promising, cash generation remains disappointing. I still like the simplicity of this franchising business, but must admit to having doubts about the size of its full potential. I continue to hold.

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14 April 2015
By Maynard Paton

Quick update on M Winkworth (WINK).

Event: Final results published 14 April

Summary: A quite satisfactory set of full-year results, albeit the second half produced flat profits. WINK has become slightly more dependent on the booming London property market, but its estate-agency franchising operation continues to produce super margins and high returns on equity. There are not many shares with such finacials that I have found that presently trade on a P/E of about 10. I continue to hold.

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6 February 2015
By Maynard Paton

Today I’m studying the smallest holding in my portfolio — M Winkworth (WINK).

In fact, this £16m estate-agency business represents less than 1% of my portfolio… and so is unlikely to send my wealth into orbit even if it does multi-bag!

I bought WINK at 90p during June and July 2011, but then sold 70% of my shares between August 2013 and February 2014 at an average of 173p.

At the time I was a bit worried about WINK’s substantial exposure to London’s booming housing market — and I probably would have sold the rest of my shares were it not for the price dropping to today’s 123p. Including some very useful dividends collected along the way, my total return to date has been a respectable 92%.

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