Maynard Paton | Page 26 | Quality UK Investment Blog

French Connection: I Have Finally Given Up On This Turnaround

20 September 2016
By Maynard Paton

Quick update on French Connection (FCCN).

Event: Interim results for the six months to 31 July 2016 published 20 September 2016

Summary: It’s taken me five years to realise that I have wasted my time with FCCN’s purported turnaround. The fashion chain’s latest results were very mixed, and I feel cash may now become tight if there is more bad news. I have belatedly concluded the problem Retail division could well lose money for some years ahead, while an activist investor may not be doing enough to instigate the necessary board changes. I have sold my entire holding.

BrainJuicer: Return To Double-Digit Growth And Yet Another 12p Per Share Special Dividend

16 September 2016
By Maynard Paton

Quick update on BrainJuicer (BJU).

Event: Interim results for the six months to 30 June 2016 published 16 September 2016

Summary: A very respectable set of figures that confirmed this market-research agency has now returned to double-digit growth. However, the group’s best-selling system has started to face “pricing pressure” and the wider competitive advantage may not be as strong as it once was. The statement’s highlight was news of a 12p per share special dividend — the third in four years. The accounts remain in good shape and I continue to hold.

M Winkworth: Cash Rich, High Margin And A P/E Of 7

14 September 2016
By Maynard Paton

Quick update on M Winkworth (WINK).

Event: Interim results for the six months to 30 June 2016 published 13 September 2016

Summary: A quite satisfactory statement that suggested this London-dependent estate agency should be able to cope with the capital’s slower property market. Indeed, the business appears keen to expand and the pace of its new franchisee openings may in fact accelerate. Margins remain high, the balance sheet remains strong and a P/E of 7 seems to price in a lot of bad news. I bought more shares in August and continue to hold.

City Of London Investment: The Staff Don’t Deserve This Extra Bonus And I Hope It Is Voted Down

13 September 2016
By Maynard Paton

Quick update on City of London Investment (CLIG).

Event: Final results for the year ending 30 June 2016 published 12 September 2016

Summary: I’m starting to go off City businesses. First it was Record and now it is CLIG that wants to pay its employees a lot more… despite profits at both having gone nowhere for years. Sadly, CLIG’s revised bonus plan has offset some promising news of greater funds under management and the real prospect (finally!) of a dividend lift. I can only hope the fund manager can soon deliver the much-needed performance to justify the extra bonus cost. I continue to hold.

BrainJuicer: I Watched A Beer Advert And Decided To Buy

07 September 2016
By Maynard Paton

Today I’m reviewing one of my recent investments.

The company in question is BrainJuicer (BJU), which you may recall I revealed as a fresh holding within this second-quarter portfolio update.

I purchased my BJU shares at an average price of 325p (including all costs) during March and April 2016. The bid price is now 425p and the position currently represents about 2% of my portfolio.

I have to admit, BJU is somewhat quirky in comparison to many of my existing holdings. The group is a market-research agency and has pioneered techniques to judge the potential success of adverts using ‘behavioural science’.

If you’re wondering what on earth behavioural science is, don’t worry. For years BJU’s business never made much sense to me — until I read this year’s annual report, watched a beer advert… and finally got to grips what this £58m small-cap actually does.

Anyway, supporting the notion that BJU had above-average investment potential was a respectable record of progress, decent financials, an executive team led by the firm’s founder/major shareholder… as well as the opportunity to further ‘disrupt’ the wider market-research industry.

Tasty: I Felt Uneasy Ahead Of These Results And Sold Some Shares

06 September 2016
By Maynard Paton

Quick update on Tasty (TAST).

Event: Interim results for the 27 weeks to 03 July 2016 published 06 September 2016

Summary: These results were very mixed. I am pleased the restaurant chain’s revenue growth has improved following the ‘blip’ in the second half of last year, but disappointed the roll-out plan has slowed a little. Margins have also shrunk due to greater expansion costs. Mind you, the board here remains a class act while the longer-term potential is still considerable. I sold some shares before these results and I continue to hold the rest.

Mincon: Interim Results Show Best Quarter Since Flotation

22 August 2016
By Maynard Paton

Quick update on Mincon (MCON).

Event: Interim results for the six months to 30 June 2016 published 19 August 2016

Summary: A satisfactory set of results, which I reckon included the drill specialist’s best quarter as a quoted company. Revenue and profit continue to head the right way, although working capital and other investments absorbed considerable cash flow. Notable positives from the statement included comments on new product development alongside vague talk of recovering demand from mining customers. I continue to hold.

City Of London Investment: Brexit Should Bolster Earnings And Support A P/E Of 10

27 July 2016
By Maynard Paton

Quick update on City of London Investment (CLIG).

Event: Trading update for the year ending 30 June 2016 published 18 July 2016

Summary: Regular monthly updates had already ensured this statement would not be too surprising. However, CLIG trimmed back its projections for 2017 and despite stagnant funds under management, extra costs are filtering into the business. Fortunately the group should benefit significantly from the weaker pound, and its dollar-based income may currently support a P/E of 10 and 7%-plus yield. I continue to hold.

Tristel: We Celebrated The 3p Special Dividend While Sitting In A Marquee Out In The Car Park

26 July 2016
By Maynard Paton

Long update on Tristel (TSTL).

Event: Shareholder open day, presentation and trading update for the year ending 30 June 2016 published 21 July 2016

Summary: A very useful shareholder event that accompanied a better-than-expected trading update. The bright spot was recovering UK revenue, although management oddly could not explain why the rebound occurred. Another special dividend and the purchase of an Australian distributor were welcome developments, too. Plenty of interesting snippets were disclosed during the day, including certain products having their prices doubled. However, I still disagree with management about past disclosures. I continue to hold.

CLS Holdings: A 23% Discount To NAV And A Boss With A £294m Shareholding

15 July 2016
By Maynard Paton

Today I’m continuing my hunt for Watch List shares with a look at CLS Holdings (CLI).

Here are the initial attractions that prompted this research:

* Illustrious financial progress: The accounts exhibit a 20-year history of rising net asset value alongside a remarkable record of substantial share buybacks.

* Owner-orientated boardroom: The company’s founder retains a £294m/51% stake and continues to serve as an executive director.

* Interesting valuation: The shares have fallen 30% from their high and currently trade at a 23% discount to the group’s 2015 net asset value.

As usual, I’m applying a question-and-answer template to help me pinpoint companies that match the criteria set out in How I Invest. I’m looking for as many Yes answers as possible.

Daejan: Property Estate Tops £2bn While Shares Trade At 53% Of NAV

06 July 2016
By Maynard Paton

Quick update on Daejan (DJAN).

Event: Preliminary results for the year to 31 March 2016 published 06 July 2016

Summary: I have no complaints about these figures. Rental income and operating profit advanced significantly to new all-time highs, while further valuation gains helped the property group’s balance sheet reach a record £91 per share. Debt remains relatively low and I’m trusting DJAN’s veteran management will be able to take full advantage of any ructions in the post-Brexit property market. The shares trade at 53% of net asset value and I continue to hold.

Q2 2016: 3 Top-Ups And 5 AGMs

30 June 2016
By Maynard Paton

Happy Thursday! I hope you continue to find my Blog useful… and that your portfolio has fared much better than mine during the Brexit turmoil!

Yes… a few of my shares have been thumped of late and, for me at least, 2016 is fast becoming a somewhat grim year. At the end of March I was down 5% and by today’s close I was down 10%.

I must confess, the decent gain I enjoyed during 2015 now seems like a lifetime ago :-(

Still, markets never go up — or down — for ever.

I mean, Warren Buffett always reckons we should “be greedy when others are fearful”…

…and all that me, you and every other private investor can do in times like these is to simply find decent companies at attractive valuations and just hold them for the long haul.

Record: Cash-Adjusted P/E Of 8 Plus Talk Of Special Dividends

23 June 2016
By Maynard Paton

Quick update on Record (REC).

Event: Final results for the twelve months to 31 March 2016 published 17 June 2016

Summary: These far-from-spectacular figures were no surprise. Indeed, both revenue and profit have stagnated for five years now and there was no real suggestion that improvements will occur anytime soon. What’s more, a new regulatory risk was disclosed that may hinder progress :-( Nevertheless, this specialist currency manager did talk of future special dividends, while the high-margin, cash-rich nature of the business remains attractive. I reckon the underlying P/E is 8 and the yield is 6%-plus, and I continue to hold.

Mountview Estates: NAV Could Be £140 Per Share Right Now And £192 Per Share Long Term

16 June 2016
By Maynard Paton

Quick update on Mountview Estates (MTVW).

Event: Annual results for the twelve months to 31 March 2016 published 16 June 2016

Summary: Another record annual performance from the property-trading specialist — although you would never know that from the sparse management narrative. Gross margins remain high, debt continues to be paid off while the share price still languishes well below my assessment of possible net asset value. I continue to hold.

Castings: Satisfactory Results Blessed With 30p Per Share Special Dividend

15 June 2016
By Maynard Paton

Quick update on Castings (CGS).

Event: Annual results for the twelve months to 31 March 2016 published 15 June 2016

Summary: A quite satisfactory set of results from the country’s largest foundry operator. Revenue, profit, the dividend and net cash all headed in the right direction, while a shareholder bonus was news of a 30p per share special payout. However, counter-balancing the 2016 figures was the admission of less work at the higher-margin machining division, which will hurt 2017 progress. Still, the shares do not appear expensive and I continue to hold.

Maynard Paton: “Hi Andrew, Yes, management has always prided itself on the group’s growth history but the significant dividend lift last year…” 28 Dec 2024

Andrew Rolfe: “An excellent in-depth analysis of TSTL, Maynard. TSTL had a very turbulent month up to Christmas, but bounced back strongly…” 28 Dec 2024

Maynard Paton: “System1 (SYS1)   AGM attendance and Result of AGM hosted/published 25 September 2023 I attended SYS1’s AGM during September and the…” 24 Dec 2024

Patrick Leach: “System 1 was also mentioned relatively recently on the Rest is Entertainment podcast (the episode featuring Mike Tyson), again with…” 23 Dec 2024

Maynard Paton: “Thanks Charles. Here is the link. Two choice paragraphs in a very informative and well-written article: “System1 asks the same…” 21 Dec 2024

Maynard Paton: “Hi John, well spotted. I think I misread my calculator and multiplied the actual £62k (then 1.13m shares * 5.5p)…” 21 Dec 2024

John Walter: “I saw your good article on Colefax but you made one glaring mistake saying that David Greens dividend is £600,000-it’s…” 21 Dec 2024

Charles East: “Hi Maynard There is a new FT article that mentions System 1. It’s called “The race to make the greatest…” 14 Dec 2024